What has happened yesterday? Nifty Index, as expected and written, opened on a flat to positive note at 17574.65, our expected opening band 17575-17600; on opening move, the Index made a day low 17455.40 thereafter, it moved up, made a day high 17620.05 and closed at 17511.25 on a negative note with an intra loss 43.05 points, i.e., -0.25%.
What will happen today?
Nifty Index: Today, Nifty Index may open on a flat note 17535-17570-17590 levels; if open, trade and sustain above 17590 then, the index may test 17615-17640-17665-17690-17720-17770-17795 levels. On the other hand, the immediate support lies at 17495-17445 if, the Index move below 17445 then, it may try to re-visit 17410-17355-17315-17285-17255 levels.
Special Mention: Yesterday, Nifty Index continued the down trend till 17455.40 and closed well below 17720; today, the Index must break 17620-17720 levels, if it moves and sustain above 17720 then, it may re-test 17970-18135-18200 levels in the near term. On the other hand, the strong support lies at 17445-17355, if the Index moves below 17445-17355 then, it may try to re-visit 17255-17000 levels in the near term. Let see how the Index opens today at 17535-17570-17590 levels, the intra volatility may be in a high note due to week-end factor and weak globale cues, trade with due caution is my advice at this juncture.
Nifty Bank Index: Yesterday, Nifty Bank Index, opened at 39983.70 on the opening move, it made a day low 39600.25 thereafter, it moved up, made a day high 40147.80 and closed on a flat to positive note at 40001.55 with an intra gain 5.65 points, i.e., -0.07%, today the Nifty Bank Index must move above 40085-40150 levels; if to do so, then it may try to test 40250-40300-40425-40530-40660-40790 levels. On the other hand, any weakness near 40085-40150 further, it moves below 39900-39730 then, the Index may re-visit 39665-39600-39495-39420-39390-39190-38985 levels.
India Inc. Earnings:
India Inc. Q3 Earnings Session (Oct-Dec'22): So, far out of 4248 companies 4150 announced their Q3 earnings, the net profit seen a negative growth about -0.10%, when compared with a last quarter. The Net profit for Q3 stood at Rs.243,189.50 Cr. as against the Q2 net profit of Rs.243,532.80 Cr.
INDIA's Macro Data:
On 01st Feb'23, the S&P Global Manufacturing PMI data for the month of Jan'23 released, it dropped to 55.40% from 57.80% (Dec'22). Likewise, the S&P Global Services PMI data for the month of Jan'23 released on 03rd Feb'23, it dropped to 57.20% from 58.50% (Dec'22).
The RBI MPC meet held on 08th Feb'23-Wednesday, the MPC increased the Repo rate by 25 bps from 6.25% to 6.50%.
GDP data for the Q2 ending Sep'22 released on 30th Nov'22, the GDP slipped into 6.30% Vs.13.50% (Q1-Jun'22).
IIP data for Dec'22 released on 10th Feb'23-Friday, the data shows that, the Industrial production has dropped down to 4.30% when compared to the November'22, it stood at 7.30%.
Annual Inflation data for Jan'23 releasd on 13th Feb'23-Monday, it shows that the Inflation has gone up further to 6.52% from Dec'22 level i.e., 5.72%.
WPI Inflation data for the month of Jan'23 released on 14th Feb-Tuesday, it has further come down to 4.73 Vs.4.95% (Dec'22).
Trading Strategy: The members/followers/readers, those who booked profit near 18100, try to buy partially near 17450-17350-17250 levels in Nifty50 stocks for medium term perspective to gain 6-9%
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