What has happened yesterday? Nifty Index, as expected and written, opened on a negative note at 17383.25, our expected opening band 17390-17410-17435; on opening move, the Index made a day high 17440.45 thereafter, it moved down, made a day low 17255.20 and closed at 17303.95 on a negative note with an intra loss 88.75 points, i.e., -0.51%.
What will happen today?
Nifty Index: Today, Nifty Index may open on a flat note 17300-17330-17350 levels; if open, trade and sustain above 17345 then, the index may test 17370-17390-17420-17440-17465-17490-17525-17560-17599 levels. On the other hand, the immediate support lies at 17275-17255 if, the Index move below 17255 then, it may try to re-visit 17230-17204-17170-17140-17105 levels.
Special Mention: Yesterday, Nifty Index continued the down trend till 17255 and closed at 17303.95, which is below our threshold support levels i.e., 17353; today, the Index must break 17360-17450 levels, if it moves and sustain above 17450 then, it may re-test 17600-17770-18000-18135 levels in the near term. On the other hand, the strong support lies at 17255-17140, if the Index moves below 17255-17140 then, it may try to re-visit 17100-16950 levels in the near term. Let see how the Index opens today at 17300-17330-17350 levels, the intra volatility may be in a high note due to tomorow's option weekly expiry, weak global and domestic cues, trade with due caution is my advice at this juncture.
Nifty Bank Index: Yesterday, Nifty Bank Index, opened at 40302.70 on the opening move, it made a day low 40073, thereafter, it moved up, made a day high 40391.45 and closed on a negative note at 40269.05 with an intra loss 38.05 points, i.e., -0.09%, today the Nifty Bank Index must move above 40300-40390 levels; if to do so, then it may try to test 40475--40560-40675-40790-40945 levels. On the other hand, any weakness near 40300-40390 further, it moves below 40230-40250-40150 then, the Index may re-visit 40110-40080-39995-39850-39785-39695-39600 levels.
India Inc. Earnings:
India Inc. Q3 Earnings Session (Oct-Dec'22): So, far out of 4248 companies 4166 announced their Q3 earnings, the net profit seen a flat to positive growth about 0.10%, when compared with a last quarter. The Net profit for Q3 stood at Rs.243,474.90 Cr. as against the Q2 net profit of Rs.243,155.10 Cr.
INDIA's Macro Data:
On 01st Feb'23, the S&P Global Manufacturing PMI data for the month of Jan'23 released, it dropped to 55.40% from 57.80% (Dec'22). Likewise, the S&P Global Services PMI data for the month of Jan'23 released on 03rd Feb'23, it dropped to 57.20% from 58.50% (Dec'22).
The RBI MPC meet held on 08th Feb'23-Wednesday, the MPC increased the Repo rate by 25 bps from 6.25% to 6.50%.
GDP data for the Q3 ending Dec'22 released on 28th Feb'23, the GDP slipped into 4.40% Vs.6.30% (Q2-Sep'22).
IIP data for Dec'22 released on 10th Feb'23-Friday, the data shows that, the Industrial production has dropped down to 4.30% when compared to the November'22, it stood at 7.30%.
Annual Inflation data for Jan'23 releasd on 13th Feb'23-Monday, it shows that the Inflation has gone up further to 6.52% from Dec'22 level i.e., 5.72%.
WPI Inflation data for the month of Jan'23 released on 14th Feb-Tuesday, it has further come down to 4.73 Vs.4.95% (Dec'22).
Trading Strategy: The members/followers/readers, those who booked profit near 18100, try to buy partially near 17350-17250 levels in Nifty50 stocks for medium term perspective to gain 6-9%
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