What has happened yesterday? Nifty Index, as expected and written, opened on a positive note at 17031.75, our expected opening band 16985-17005-17025; on opening move, the Index made a day high 17061.75; thereafter, it moved down, made a day low 16913.75 and closed at 16951.70 on a negative note with an intra loss 34 points, i.e., -0.20%.
What will happen today?
Nifty Index: Today, Nifty Index may open on a flat note near 16970-17005-17020 levels; if open, trade and sustain above 17020 then, the index may test 17060-17100-17120-17145-17135-17175-17205 levels. On the other hand, the immediate support lies at 16950-16915 if, the Index move below 16915 then, it may try to re-visit 16900-16865-16830-16795-16765-16750 levels.
Special Mention: Yesterday, Nifty Index unable to continue the northward journey beyond 17100, made a high 17061.75, the brief sell-off dragged till 16913.75 and closed well below 16985; today, the Index must break 17060-17110 levels, if it moves and sustain above 17110 then, it may re-test 17210-17315-17520 levels in the near term. On the other hand, the strong support lies at 16910-16875-16830, if the Index moves below 16830 then, it may try to re-visit 16750-16680 levels in the near term. Let see how the Index opens today at 16970-17005-17020 levels, the volatility may be in high note due to today's F&O Expiry and tomorrow's holiday factor, trade with due caution and avoid aggressive short/long position.
Nifty Bank Index: Yesterday, Nifty Bank Index, opened at 39545.05 on the opening move, it made a day low 39326.10; thereafter, it moved up, made a day high 39645.20 and closed on a positive note at 39567.90 with an intra gain 136.60 points, i.e., 0.35%, today the Nifty Bank Index must move above 39645-39730 levels; if to do so, then it may try to test 39860-40020-40140-40200-40320 levels. On the other hand, any weakness near 39645-39730 further, it moves below 39550-39400 then, the Index may re-visit 39240-38990-38950-38925-38800-38615-38500 levels.
India Inc. Earnings:
India Inc. Q3 Earnings Session (Oct-Dec'22): So, far out of 4248 companies 4190 announced their Q3 earnings, the net profit seen a flat to negative growth about -0.10%, when compared with a last quarter. The Net profit for Q3 stood at Rs.242,791.90 Cr. as against the Q2 net profit of Rs.242,931.20 Cr.
INDIA's Macro Data:
On 01st Mar'23, the S&P Global Manufacturing PMI data for the month of Feb'23 released, it dropped to 55.30% from 55.40% (Jan'23). Likewise, the S&P Global Services PMI data for the month of Feb'23 released on 03rd Mar'23, it moved up to 59.40% from 57.20% (Jan'23).
The RBI MPC meet held on 08th Feb'23-Wednesday, the MPC increased the Repo rate by 25 bps from 6.25% to 6.50%.
GDP data for the Q3 ending Dec'22 released on 28th Feb'23, the GDP slipped into 4.40% Vs.6.30% (Q2-Sep'22).
IIP data for Jan'23 released on 10th Mar'23-Friday, the data shows that, the Industrial production has moved up to 5.20% when compared to the December'22, it stood at 4.70%.
Annual Inflation data for Feb'23 releasd on 13th Mar'23-Monday, it shows that the Inflation has marginally come down to 6.44% from Jan'23 level i.e., 6.52%.
WPI Inflation data for the month of Feb'23 released on 14th Mar'23-Tuesday, it has further come down to 3.85 as against the January'23 level i.e.,4.73%.
Trading Strategy: The members/followers/readers, those who booked profit near 18100, try to buy further near 16950-16750 levels in Nifty50 stocks for medium term perspective to gain 6-9% and invest in Nifty 50 stocks.
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