What has happened yesterday? Nifty Index, as expected and written, opened on a positive note at 17634.90, our expected opening band 17610-17640; on opening move, the Index made a day high 17694.10; thereafter, it moved down, made a day low 17597.95 and closed at 17599.15 on a positive note with an intra gain 24.90 points, i.e., 0.14%.
What will happen today?
Nifty Index: Today, Nifty Index may open on a positive note near 17640-17665-17695 levels; if open, trade and sustain above 17695 then, the index may test 17720-17765-17800-17820 levels. On the other hand, the immediate support lies at 17620-17595 if, the Index move below 17595 then, it may try to re-visit 17570-17530-17500-17465-17430-17400 levels.
Special Mention: Yesterday, Nifty Index continued the pull back rally, moved up till 17694.10 and closed well above our threshold support levels i.e., 17530; today, the Index must break 17720-17765-17800 levels, if it moves and sustain above 17800 then, it may re-test 18000-18135 levels in the near term. On the other hand, the strong support lies at 17585-17425, if the Index moves below 17425 then, it may try to re-visit 17320-17200-16980 levels in the near term. Let see how the Index opens today at 17640-17665-17695 levels, this weeke intra volatility may be in high note due to Q4 India Inc. results and short week-end, trade with due caution and avoid aggressive long position.
Nifty Bank Index: Yesterday, Nifty Bank Index, opened at 41116.15 on the opening move, it made a day high 41139.85; thereafter, it moved down, made a day low 40727.25 and closed on a negative note at 40834.65 with an intra gain 206.35 points, i.e., -0.50%, today the Nifty Bank Index must move above 40870-40980 levels; if to do so, then it may try to test 41065-41155-41210-41275-41395 levels. On the other hand, any weakness near 40870-40980 further, it moves below 40825-40775 then, the Index may re-visit 40730-40690-40615-40510-40395-40275 levels.
India Inc. Earnings:
India Inc. Q3 Earnings Session (Oct-Dec'22): So, far out of 4248 companies 4195 announced their Q3 earnings, the net profit seen a flat to negative growth about -0.10%, when compared with a last quarter. The Net profit for Q3 stood at Rs.242,547.30 Cr. as against the Q2 net profit of Rs.242,675.20 Cr.
INDIA's Macro Data:
On 03rd Apr'23, the S&P Global Manufacturing PMI data for the month of Mar'23 released, it moved up to 56.40% from 55.30% (Feb'23). Likewise, the S&P Global Services PMI data for the month of Mar'23 released on 05th Apr'23, it moved down to 57.80% from 59.40% (Feb'23).
The RBI MPC meet held on 06th Apr'23-Thursday, the MPC maintained status quo in the Repo rate without changing the interest rate i.e., 6.50%.
GDP data for the Q3 ending Dec'22 released on 28th Feb'23, the GDP slipped into 4.40% Vs.6.30% (Q2-Sep'22).
IIP data for Jan'23 released on 10th Mar'23-Friday, the data shows that, the Industrial production has moved up to 5.20% when compared to the December'22, it stood at 4.70%.
Annual Inflation data for Feb'23 releasd on 13th Mar'23-Monday, it shows that the Inflation has marginally come down to 6.44% from Jan'23 level i.e., 6.52%.
WPI Inflation data for the month of Feb'23 released on 14th Mar'23-Tuesday, it has further come down to 3.85 as against the January'23 level i.e.,4.73%.
Trading Strategy: The members/followers/readers, those who bought near 16950 levels , try to book partial profit near 17350-17500 levels or the stock which is giving 3-6% return and wait for further up move to book full profit.
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