What has happened on Thursday? Nifty Index, as expected and written, opened on a positive note at 17807.30, our expected opening band 17800-17825-17855 on opening move, the Index made a day low 17729.25; thereafter, it moved up, made a day high 17842.15 and closed at 17828 on a positive note with an intra gain 15.60 points, i.e., 0.09%.
What will happen today?
Nifty Index: Today, Nifty Index may open on a flat to neagtive note near 17810-17780-17755 levels; if open, trade and sustain above 17810 then, the index may test 17825-17840-17875-17920-17955-17985 levels. On the other hand, the immediate support lies at 17730-17715 if, the Index move below 17715 then, it may try to re-visit 17700-17670-17655-17605-17570-17530-17505 levels.
Special Mention: On Thursday, Nifty Index continued the winning streak for the straight ninth consecutive trading session, surpassed our threshold resistance levels i.e,,17800, made a high 17842 and closed just above 17800 levels; today, the Index must break 17840-17875 levels, if it moves and sustain above 17875 then, it may re-test 18000-18135 levels in the near term. On the other hand, the strong support lies at 17715-17655, if the Index moves below 17655 then, it may try to re-visit 17320-17200-16980 levels in the near term. Let see how the Index opens today at 17810-17780-17755 levels. The technical sell-off can be expected this week for atleast 2-3 trading sessions to test 17650-17500 levels; hence trade with due caution and avoid aggressive long position.
Nifty Bank Index: On Thursday, Nifty Bank Index, opened at 41680.10 on the opening move, it made a day low 41502.65; thereafter, it moved up, made a day high 42196.20 and closed on a positive note at 42132.55 with an intra gain 574.60 points, i.e., 1.38%, today the Nifty Bank Index must move above 42195-42345-42385 levels; if to do so, then it may try to test 42570-42715-42900-43080 levels. On the other hand, any weakness near 42195-42345-42385 further, it moves below 41980-41810 then, the Index may re-visit 41765-41670-41550-41505-41450-41330 levels.
India Inc. Earnings:
India Inc. Q3 Earnings Session (Oct-Dec'22): So, far out of 4248 companies 4197 announced their Q3 earnings, the net profit seen a flat to negative growth about -0.10%, when compared with a last quarter. The Net profit for Q3 stood at Rs.242,538.10 Cr. as against the Q2 net profit of Rs.242,674.50 Cr.
INDIA's Macro Data:
On 03rd Apr'23, the S&P Global Manufacturing PMI data for the month of Mar'23 released, it moved up to 56.40% from 55.30% (Feb'23). Likewise, the S&P Global Services PMI data for the month of Mar'23 released on 05th Apr'23, it moved down to 57.80% from 59.40% (Feb'23).
The RBI MPC meet held on 06th Apr'23-Thursday, the MPC maintained status quo in the Repo rate without changing the interest rate i.e., 6.50%.
GDP data for the Q3 ending Dec'22 released on 28th Feb'23, the GDP slipped into 4.40% Vs.6.30% (Q2-Sep'22).
IIP data for Feb'23 released on 12th Apr'23-Wednesday, the data shows that, the Industrial production has moved up to 5.60% when compared to the Jan'23, it stood at 5.50%.
Annual Inflation data for Mar'23 releasd on 12th Apr'23-Monday, it shows that the Inflation has marginally come down to 5.66% from Jan'23 level i.e., 6.44%.
WPI Inflation data for the month of Feb'23 released on 14th Mar'23-Tuesday, it has further come down to 5.66 as against the February'23 level i.e.,4.73%.
Trading Strategy: The members/followers/readers, those who bought near 16950 levels , try to book full profit near 17800-18000 levels or the stock which is giving 6-10% return and wait for further correction to re-invest again.
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