What has happened yesterday? Nifty Index, as expected and written, opened on a flat note at 17653.65; our expected opening band 17685-17660-17645 on opening move, the Index made a day high 17666.15; thereafter, it moved down, made a day low 17579.85 and closed at 17618.75 on a negative note with an intra loss 41.60 points, i.e., -0.23%.
What will happen today?
Nifty Index: Today, Nifty Index may open on a flat to positive note near 17620-17645-17665 levels; if open, trade and sustain above 17665 then, the index may test 17690-17720-17750-17775-17800-17830-17865 levels. On the other hand, the immediate support lies at 17600-17575 if, the Index move below 17575 then, it may try to re-visit 17545-17500-17470-17445-17430-17400 levels.
Special Mention: Yesterday, Nifty Index continued the downward move for three consecutive trading session and closed well below 17700 levels; today, the Index must break 17700-17800 levels, if it moves and sustain above 17800 then, it may re-test 18000-18135 levels in the near term. On the other hand, the strong support lies at 17575-17500, if the Index moves below 17500 then, it may try to re-visit 17350-17200-16980 levels in the near term. Let see how the Index opens today at 17620-17645-17665 levels. Today intra volatility may be in high note due to option weekly expiry and tomorrrow's week-end factor; hence trade with due caution and avoid aggressive long/short position.
Nifty Bank Index: Yesterday, Nifty Bank Index, opened at 42280.10 on the opening move, it made a day high 42339.90; thereafter, it moved down, made a day low 42022.15 and closed on a negative note at 42154 with an intra loss 111.20 points, i.e., -0.26%, today the Nifty Bank Index must move above 42190-42245 levels; if to do so, then it may try to test 42340-42390-42425-42540-42605-42700-42820 levels. On the other hand, any weakness near 42190-42245 further, it moves below 42095-42020 then, the Index may re-visit 41940-41870-41800-41665-41575-41500 levels.
India Inc. Earnings:
India Inc. Q3 Earnings Session (Oct-Dec'22): So, far out of 4248 companies 4199 announced their Q3 earnings, the net profit seen a flat to negative growth about -0.10%, when compared with a last quarter. The Net profit for Q3 stood at Rs.242,534.80 Cr. as against the Q2 net profit of Rs.242,666.60 Cr.
INDIA's Macro Data:
On 03rd Apr'23, the S&P Global Manufacturing PMI data for the month of Mar'23 released, it moved up to 56.40% from 55.30% (Feb'23). Likewise, the S&P Global Services PMI data for the month of Mar'23 released on 05th Apr'23, it moved down to 57.80% from 59.40% (Feb'23).
The RBI MPC meet held on 06th Apr'23-Thursday, the MPC maintained status quo in the Repo rate without changing the interest rate i.e., 6.50%.
GDP data for the Q3 ending Dec'22 released on 28th Feb'23, the GDP slipped into 4.40% Vs.6.30% (Q2-Sep'22).
IIP data for Feb'23 released on 12th Apr'23-Wednesday, the data shows that, the Industrial production has moved up to 5.60% when compared to the Jan'23, it stood at 5.50%.
Annual Inflation data for Mar'23 releasd on 12th Apr'23-Monday, it shows that the Inflation has marginally come down to 5.66% from Jan'23 level i.e., 6.44%.
WPI Inflation data for the month of Feb'23 released on 14th Mar'23-Tuesday, it has further come down to 5.66 as against the February'23 level i.e.,4.73%.
Trading Strategy: The members/followers/readers, those who bought near 16950 levels , try to book full profit near 17800-18000 levels or the stock which is giving 6-10% return and wait for further correction to re-invest again.
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