What has happened yesterday? Nifty Index, as expected and written, opened on a negative note at 18113.80; our expected opening band 18110-18080-18065 on opening move, the Index made a day high 18116.35; thereafter, it moved down, made a day low 18042.40 and closed at 18089.85 on a negative note with an intra loss 57.80 points, i.e., -0.32%.
What will happen today?
Nifty Index: Today, Nifty Index may open on a flat to negative note near 18075-18045 levels; if open, trade and sustain above 18075 then, the index may test 18095-18115-18135-18150-18165-18180-18200-18215 levels. On the other hand, the immediate support lies at 18045-18000 if, the Index move below 18000 then, it may try to re-visit 17970-17940-17900-17885-17865 levels.
Special Mention: Yesterday, Nifty Index unable to continue the northward journey; moved down and made low 18042, further it closed well below 18110 levels; today, the Index must break 18135-18180-18200 levels, if it moves and sustain above 18200 then, it may re-test 18285-18365-18445 levels in the near term. On the other hand, the strong support lies at 18000-17865,if the Index moves below 17865, then the Index may try to re-visit 17710-17555 levels in the near term. Let see how the Index opens today at 18075-18045 levels, the intra volatility may be high due to today's option weekly expiry and weak global cues.
Nifty Bank Index: Yesterday, Nifty Bank Index, opened at 43390.05 on the opening move, it made a day low 43269.40; thereafter, it moved up, made a day high 43483.85 and closed on a negative note at 43312.70 with an intra loss 39.40 points, i.e., -0.09%, today the Nifty Bank Index must move above 43355-43430levels; if to do so, then it may try to test 43480-43540-43580-43615-43730 levels. On the other hand, any weakness near 43355-43430 further, it moves below 43250-43180 then, the Index may re-visit 43080-43000-42960-42925-42860-42810-42740-42680 levels.
India Inc. Earnings:
India Inc. Q4 Earnings Session (Jan-Mar'23): So far out of 4248 companies 342 of them, announced their Q4 earnings, the net profit seen a flat to positive growth about 2.10%, when compared with a Q3 quarter. The Net profit for Q4 stood at Rs.104,331.70 cr. as against the Q3 net profit of Rs.102,208.60 cr.
INDIA's Macro Data:
On 01st May'23, the S&P Global Manufacturing PMI data for the month of Apr'23 released, it moved up to 57.20% from 56.40% (Mar'23). Likewise, the S&P Global Services PMI data for the month of Apr'23 released on 03rd May'23, it moved up to 62% from 57.80% (Mar'23).
The RBI MPC meet held on 06th Apr'23-Thursday, the MPC maintained status quo in the Repo rate without changing the interest rate i.e., 6.50%.
GDP data for the Q3 ending Dec'22 released on 28th Feb'23, the GDP slipped into 4.40% Vs.6.30% (Q2-Sep'22).
IIP data for Feb'23 released on 12th Apr'23-Wednesday, the data shows that, the Industrial production has moved up to 5.60% when compared to the Jan'23, it stood at 5.50%.
Annual Inflation data for Mar'23 releasd on 12th Apr'23-Monday, it shows that the Inflation has marginally come down to 5.66% from Jan'23 level i.e., 6.44%.
WPI Inflation data for the month of Feb'23 released on 14th Mar'23-Tuesday, it has further come down to 5.66 as against the February'23 level i.e.,4.73%.
Trading Strategy: The members/followers/readers, those who booked profit near 17800-18000 levels, try to re-invest near 17200-16900 for medium term prespective in Nifty 50 stocks to gain 6-9% return.
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DISCLAIMER:
The writing in the above daily market update should only be construed as guidance. I assert that any business or investment decisions should not be based purely on the information presented in the daily market update. As a Research Analyst, I will not be responsible for any losses incurred by a client as a result of decisions made based on any information included in the daily market update.
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