18.05.23-Thursday, 08.45 am 

Good Morning all... 

What has happened yesterday? Nifty Index, as expected and written, opened on a flat note at 18300.45; our expected opening band 18285-18255 on opening move, the Index made a day high 18309; thereafter, it moved down, made a day low 18115.35 and closed at 18181.75 on a negative note with intra loss 104.75 points, i.e., -0.57%.

What will happen today? 

Nifty Index: Today, Nifty Index may open on a positive note 18235-18250-18285 levels; if open, trade and sustain above 18285 then, the index may test 18325-18345-18360-18385-18415-18430-18460 levels. On the other hand, the immediate support lies at 18210-18160 if, the Index move below 18160 then, it may try to re-visit 18140-18115-18095-18060-18045 levels.

Special Mention: Yesterday, Nifty Index unable to continue the northward journey beyond 18365, further moved down till 18115 and closed well below 18200 levels; today, the Index must sustain above 18250-18365 levels, if it moves and sustain above 18365 then, it may re-test 18460-18550 levels in the near term. On the other hand, the strong support lies at 18055-17965, if the Index moves below 17965, then the Index may try to re-visit 17865-17555 levels in the near term. Let see how the Index opens today at 18235-18250-18285 levels. Today, the intra volatility may be in high note due to today's option weekly expiry and tommorow's week-end factor. 

Nifty Bank Index: Yesterday, Nifty Bank Index, opened at 43948.50 on the opening move, it made a day high 43992.75; thereafter, it moved down, made a day low 43446.40 and closed on a negative note at 43698.70 with an intra loss 205 points, i.e., -0.47%, today the Nifty Bank Index must move above 43760-43830-43875 levels; if to do so, then it may try to test 43930-43990-44070-44150 levels. On the other hand, any weakness near 4376-43830-43875 further, it moves below 43665-43575 then, the Index may re-visit 43445-43300-43215 levels.

India Inc. Earnings:

India Inc. Q4 Earnings Session (Jan-Mar'23): So far out of 4248 companies 1046 of them, announced their Q4 earnings, the net profit seen a positive growth about 25.90%, when compared with a Q3 quarter. The Net profit for Q4 stood at Rs.209,247.10 cr., as against the Q3 net profit of Rs.166,829 cr. 

INDIA's Macro Data:

On 01st May'23, the S&P Global Manufacturing PMI data for the month of Apr'23 released, it moved up to 57.20% from 56.40% (Mar'23). Likewise, the S&P Global Services PMI data for the month of Apr'23 released on 03rd May'23, it moved up to 62% from 57.80% (Mar'23).

The RBI MPC meet held on 06th Apr'23-Thursday,  the MPC maintained status quo in the Repo rate without changing the interest  rate i.e., 6.50%.

GDP data for the Q3 ending Dec'22 released on 28th Feb'23, the GDP slipped into 4.40% Vs.6.30% (Q2-Sep'22).

IIP data for Mar'23 released on 12th May'23-Friday, the data shows that, the Industrial production has moved down to 1.10% when compared to the Feb'23, it stood at 5.60%. 

Annual Inflation data for Apr'23 releasd on 12th May'23-Friday, it shows that the Inflation has come down to 4.70% from Mar'23 level i.e., 5.66%.

WPI Inflation data for the month of Apr'23 released on 15th May'23-Monday, it has further come down to -0.92 as against the March'23 level i.e.,1.34%.

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The writing in the above daily market update should only be construed as guidance. I assert that any business or investment decisions should not be based purely on the information presented in the daily market update. As a Research Analyst, I will not be responsible for any losses incurred by a visitor/investor/client, as a result of decisions made based on any information given in the daily market update.

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