What has happened yesterday? Nifty Index, as expected and written, opened on a positive note at 18287.50; our expected opening band 18250-18285 on opening move, the Index made a day high 18297.20 thereafter, it moved down, made a day low 18104.85 and closed at 18129.95 on a negative note with intra loss 51.80 points, i.e., -0.28%.
What will happen today?
Nifty Index: Today, Nifty Index may open on a flat to positive note 18130-18150-18185 levels; if open, trade and sustain above 18185 then, the index may test 18210-18225-18240-18275-18295-18310 levels. On the other hand, the immediate support lies at 18125-18105 if, the Index move below 18105 then, it may try to re-visit 18060-18045-18005-17965 levels.
Special Mention: Yesterday, Nifty Index unable to continue the northward journey beyond 18310, further moved down till 18104.85 and closed well below 18200 levels; today, the Index must sustain above 18190-18240 levels, if it moves and sustain above 18240 then, it may re-test 18310-18460-18550 levels in the near term. On the other hand, the strong support lies at 18055-17965,if the Index moves below 17965, then the Index may try to re-visit 17865-17555 levels in the near term. Let see how the Index opens today at 18130-18150-18185 levels. Today, the intra volatility may be in high note due to today's week-end factor.
Nifty Bank Index: Yesterday, Nifty Bank Index, opened at 44006.90 on the opening move, it made a day high 44079.20; thereafter, it moved down, made a day low 43673.70 and closed on a positive note at 43752.30 with an intra gain 53.60 points, i.e., 0.12%, today the Nifty Bank Index must move above 43875-43960 levels; if to do so, then it may try to test 43995-44055-44150-44190-44270-44345 levels. On the other hand, any weakness near 43875-43960 further, it moves below 43770-43675 then, the Index may re-visit 43565-43460-43370-43215 levels.
India Inc. Earnings:
India Inc. Q4 Earnings Session (Jan-Mar'23): So far out of 4248 companies 1120 of them, announced their Q4 earnings, the net profit seen a positive growth about 23.90%, when compared with a Q3 quarter. The Net profit for Q4 stood at Rs.236,117 cr., as against the Q3 net profit of Rs.190,612.10 cr.
INDIA's Macro Data:
On 01st May'23, the S&P Global Manufacturing PMI data for the month of Apr'23 released, it moved up to 57.20% from 56.40% (Mar'23). Likewise, the S&P Global Services PMI data for the month of Apr'23 released on 03rd May'23, it moved up to 62% from 57.80% (Mar'23).
The RBI MPC meet held on 06th Apr'23-Thursday, the MPC maintained status quo in the Repo rate without changing the interest rate i.e., 6.50%.
GDP data for the Q3 ending Dec'22 released on 28th Feb'23, the GDP slipped into 4.40% Vs.6.30% (Q2-Sep'22).
IIP data for Mar'23 released on 12th May'23-Friday, the data shows that, the Industrial production has moved down to 1.10% when compared to the Feb'23, it stood at 5.60%.
Annual Inflation data for Apr'23 releasd on 12th May'23-Friday, it shows that the Inflation has come down to 4.70% from Mar'23 level i.e., 5.66%.
WPI Inflation data for the month of Apr'23 released on 15th May'23-Monday, it has further come down to -0.92 as against the March'23 level i.e.,1.34%.
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The writing in the above daily market update should only be construed as guidance. I assert that any business or investment decisions should not be based purely on the information presented in the daily market update. As a Research Analyst, I will not be responsible for any losses incurred by a visitor/investor/client, as a result of decisions made based on any information given in the daily market update.
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