What has happened yesterday? Nifty Index, as expected and written, opened on a flat to negative note at 18752.35, our expected opening band 18740-18720 on opening move, the Index made a day low 18660.65 thereafter; it moved up, made a day high 18839.70 and closed at 18816.70 on a positive note with intra gain 61.25 points, i.e.,0.33%.
What will happen today?
Nifty Index: Today, Nifty Index may open on a flat note near 18800-18820-18840 levels; if open, trade and sustain above 18840 then, the index may test 18860-18885-18925-18940 levels. On the other hand, the immediate support lies at 18785-18750 if, the Index moves below 18750 then, it may try to re-visit 18730-18700-18680-18660-18635-18610-18590 levels.
Special Mention: Yesterday, Nifty Index unable to continue the northward journey above 18881, the intra sell-off dragged till 18660, further closed above 18777 levels; today, the Index must sustain above 18840-18887 levels, if it moves and sustain above 18887 then, it may test 19168-19448 levels in the near term. On the other hand, the strong support lies at 18660-18555,if the Index moves below 18555, then the Index may try to re-visit 18460-18200-18060 levels in the near term. Let see how the Index opens today at 18800-18820-18840 levels. The intra volatility may be in a high note due to the Index trading near all time high and tomorrow's option weekly expiry, trade with caution is my advice at this juncture.
Nifty Bank Index: Yesterday, Nifty Bank Index, opened at 43597.55 on the opening move, it made a day low 43345.95; thereafter, it moved up, made a day high 43823.95 and closed on a positive note at 43766.50 with an intra gain 132.75 points, i.e., 0.30%, today the Nifty Bank Index must move above 43825-43885 levels; if to do so, then it may try to test 43955-44030-44110-44210 levels. On the other hand, any weakness near 43825-43885 further, it moves below 43685-43585 then, the Index may re-visit 43460-43400-43345-43215 levels.
India Inc. Earnings:
India Inc. Q4 Earnings Session (Jan-Mar'23): So far out of 4248 companies 4157 of them, announced their Q4 earnings, the net profit seen a positive growth about 26.20%, when compared with a Q3 quarter. The Net profit for Q4 stood at Rs.310,353.70 cr., as against the Q3 net profit of Rs.245,926.60 cr.
INDIA's Macro Data:
On 01st Jun'23, the S&P Global Manufacturing PMI data for the month of May'23 released, it moved up to 58.70% from 57.20% (Apr'23). Likewise, the S&P Global Services PMI data for the month of May'23 released on 05th Jun'23, it marginally moved down to 61.60% from 62% (Apr'23).
The RBI MPC meet held on 08th Jun'23-Thursday, the MPC maintained status quo in the Repo rate without changing the interest rate i.e., 6.50%.
GDP data for the Q4 ending Mar'23 released on 31st May'23-Wednesday, the GDP moved to 6.10% Vs.4.50% (Q3-Dec'22).
IIP data for Apr'23 released on 12th Jun'23-Monday, the data shows that, the Industrial production has moved up to 4.20% when compared to the Apr'23, it stood at 1.70%.
Annual Inflation data for May'23 releasd on 12th Jun'23-Monday, it shows that the Inflation has come down to 4.25% from Apr'23 level i.e., 4.70%.
WPI Inflation data for the month of May'23 released on 14th Jun'23-Wednesday, it has further come down to -3.48% as against the Apr'23 level i.e.,-0.92%.
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The writing in the above daily market update should only be construed as guidance. I assert that any business or investment decisions should not be based purely on the information presented in the daily market update. As a Research Analyst, I will not be responsible for any losses incurred by a visitor/investor/client, as a result of decisions made based on any information given in the daily market update.
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