What has happened yesterday? Nifty Index, as expected and written, opened on a positive note at 18748.55, our expected opening band 18705-18725 on opening move, the Index made a day low 18730 thereafter; it moved up, made a day high 18829.25 and closed at 18817.40 on a positive note with intra gain 126.20 points, i.e.,0.68%.
What will happen today?
Nifty Index: Today, Nifty Index may open on a positive note near 18830-18860 levels; if open, trade and sustain above 18860 then, the index may test 18886-18920-18950-18975 levels. On the other hand, the immediate support lies at 18795-18770 if, the Index moves below 18770 then, it may try to re-visit 18740-18715-18700-18675-18645 levels.
Special Mention: Yesterday, Nifty Index continued the northward journey above 18777, made a high 18829 and closed well above 18777 levels; today, the Index must sustain above 18860-18887 levels, if it moves and sustain above 18887 then, it may test 19168-19448 levels in the near term. On the other hand, the strong support lies at 18645-18555,if the Index moves below 18555, then the Index may try to re-visit 18460-18200 levels in the near term. Let see how the Index opens today at 18830-18860 levels. Today, the intra volatility may be in a high note due to today's F&O expiry and tomorrow's trading holiday, trade with due caution is my advice at this juncture.
Nifty Bank Index: Yesterday, Nifty Bank Index, opened at 43804.55 on the opening move, it made a day low 43693.15; thereafter, it moved up, made a day high 44194.65 and closed on a positive note at 44121.50 with an intra gain 480.45 points, i.e., 1.10%, today the Nifty Bank Index must move above 44195-44230 levels; if to do so, then it may try to test 44310-44385-44430-44495-44620-44810 levels. On the other hand, any weakness near 44195-44230 further, it moves below 44045-43905 then, the Index may re-visit 43810-43695-43615-43560-43480 levels.
India Inc. Earnings:
India Inc. Q4 Earnings Session (Jan-Mar'23): So far out of 4248 companies 4163 of them, announced their Q4 earnings, the net profit seen a positive growth about 26%, when compared with a Q3 quarter. The Net profit for Q4 stood at Rs.309,822.20 cr., as against the Q3 net profit of Rs.245,928.40 cr.
INDIA's Macro Data:
On 01st Jun'23, the S&P Global Manufacturing PMI data for the month of May'23 released, it moved up to 58.70% from 57.20% (Apr'23). Likewise, the S&P Global Services PMI data for the month of May'23 released on 05th Jun'23, it marginally moved down to 61.60% from 62% (Apr'23).
The RBI MPC meet held on 08th Jun'23-Thursday, the MPC maintained status quo in the Repo rate without changing the interest rate i.e., 6.50%.
GDP data for the Q4 ending Mar'23 released on 31st May'23-Wednesday, the GDP moved to 6.10% Vs.4.50% (Q3-Dec'22).
IIP data for Apr'23 released on 12th Jun'23-Monday, the data shows that, the Industrial production has moved up to 4.20% when compared to the Apr'23, it stood at 1.70%.
Annual Inflation data for May'23 releasd on 12th Jun'23-Monday, it shows that the Inflation has come down to 4.25% from Apr'23 level i.e., 4.70%.
WPI Inflation data for the month of May'23 released on 14th Jun'23-Wednesday, it has further come down to -3.48% as against the Apr'23 level i.e.,-0.92%.
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The writing in the above daily market update should only be construed as guidance. I assert that any business or investment decisions should not be based purely on the information presented in the daily market update. As a Research Analyst, I will not be responsible for any losses incurred by a visitor/investor/client, as a result of decisions made based on any information given in the daily market update.
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