What has happened yesterday? Nifty Index, as expected and written opened on a flat note at 19578.80, our expected opening band 19570-19595 on opening move, the Index made a day low 19467.50 thereafter; it moved up, made a day high 19645.50 and closed at 19632.55 on a positive note with intra gain 61.70 points, i.e.,0.32%.
What will happen today?
Nifty Index: Today, Nifty Index may open on a negative note near 19590-19570-19545 levels; if open, trade and sustain above 19590 then, the index may test 19625-19645-19665-19690-19715-19740-19795 levels. On the other hand, the immediate support lies at 19545-19520 if, the Index moves below 19520 then, it may try to re-visit 19490-19465-19435-19405-19375-19335-19305 levels.
Special Mention: Yesterday, Nifty Index continued the pull back rally till 19645 and closed well above 19540 levels; today, if the Index moves above 19645-19690 levels, then it may re-test 19795-19865-20000 levels in the near term. On the other hand, the strong support lies at 19425-19295-19250if the Index moves below 19250, then the Index may try to re-visit 19000-18885 levels in the near term. Let see how the Index opens today at 19590-19570-19545 levels. The intra volatility may be in high note due to today's RBI MPC meet and option weekly expiry, trade with due caution.
Nifty Bank Index: Yesterday, Nifty Bank Index, opened at 44973.45 on the opening move, it made a day high 44975; thereafter, it moved down, made a day low 44533.75 and closed on a negative note at 44880.70 with an intra loss 83.75 points, i.e., -0.19%, today the Nifty Bank Index must move above 44840-44920 levels; if to do so, then it may try to test 44975-45075-45120-45170-45210-45275-45340-45460-45535 levels. On the other hand, any weakness near 44840-44920 further, it moves below 44820-44750 then, the Index may re-visit 44640-44585-44535-44415-44380-44280-44195 levels.
INDIA's Macro Data:
On 01st Aug'23, the S&P Global Manufacturing PMI data for the month of Jul'23 released, it moved down marginally to 57.70% from 57.80% (Jun'23). Likewise, the S&P Global Services PMI data for the month of Jul'23 released on 02rd Aug'23, it moved up to 62.30% from 58.50% (Jun'23).
The RBI MPC meet held on 08th Jun'23-Thursday, the MPC maintained status quo in the Repo rate without changing the interest rate i.e., 6.50%. Next RBI MPC meet will be held on 10th Aug'23-Thursday, it may maintain status quo on the Repo rate.
GDP data for the Q4 ending Mar'23 released on 31st May'23-Wednesday, the GDP moved to 6.10% Vs.4.50% (Q3-Dec'22).
IIP data for May'23 released on 12th Jul'23-Wednesday, the data shows that, the Industrial production has moved up to 5.20% when compared to the Apr'23, it stood at 4.20%.
Annual Inflation data for Jun'23 releasd on 12th Jul'23-Wednesday, it shows that the Inflation has gone up to 4.81% from May'23 level i.e., 4.31%.
WPI Inflation data for the month of Jun'23 released on 14th Jun'23-F riday, it has further come down to -4.12% as against the May'23 level i.e.,-3.48%.
Wishing you for a safe, secured and profitable trading.
DISCLAIMER:
The writing in the above daily market update should only be construed as guidance. I assert that any business or investment decisions should not be based purely on the information presented in the daily market update. As a Research Analyst, I will not be responsible for any losses incurred by a visitor/investor/client, as a result of decisions made based on any information given in the daily market update.
Research Analyst Disclaimer: Registration granted by SEBI and certification from NISM in no way guarantee performance of the intermediary or provide any assurance of returns to investors.