31.08.23-Thursday, 08.30 am 

Good Morning all...

What has happened yesterday? Nifty Index, as expected and written, opened on a positive note at 19433.45, our expected opening band 19375-19395-19405 on opening move, the Index made a day high 19452.80 thereafter; it moved down, made a day low 19334.75 and closed at 19347.45 on a positive note with intra gain 4.80 points, i.e.,0.02%.

What will happen today? 

Nifty Index: Today, Nifty Index may open on a flat to positive note near 19375-19415 levels; if open, trade and sustain above 19415 then, the index may test 19450-19485-19510-19545-19585 levels. On the other hand, the immediate support lies at 19335-19300 if, the Index moves below 19300 then, it may try to re-visit 19280-19250-19230-19190 levels.

Special Mention: Yesterday, Nifty Index continued the up move till 19452.80, further the intra late hour sell-off dragged till 19334.75 and closed above 19340 levels; if the Index in the near term moves and closes above 19450-19585 levels, then it may re-test 19645-19795-19865 levels. On the other hand, the strong support lies at 19250-19200 if the Index moves  and closes below 19200, then the Index may try to re-visit 19065-18885 levels in the near term. Let see how the Index opens today at 19375-19415 levels. The intra volatility may be in high note due to today's F&O expiry and GDP data.

Nifty Bank Index: Yesterday, Nifty Bank Index, opened on a negative note at 44706.55 on the opening move, it made a day high 44779.65 thereafter, it moved down, made a day low 44149.80 and closed on a negative note at 44232.60 with an intra loss 262.65 points, i.e., -0.59%, today the Nifty Bank Index must move above 44300-44465 levels; if to do so, then it may try to test 44530-44595-44645-44780-44840-44950 levels. On the other hand, any weakness near 44300-44465 further, it moves below 44150-43985 then, the Index may re-visit 43920-43840-43760-43685-43600 levels.

INDIA's Macro Data:

On 01st Aug'23, the S&P Global Manufacturing PMI data for the month of Jul'23 released, it moved down marginally to 57.70% from 57.80% (Jun'23). Likewise, the S&P Global Services PMI data for the month of Jul'23 released on 02rd Aug'23, it  moved up to 62.30% from 58.50% (Jun'23).

The RBI MPC meet held on 10th Aug'23-Thursday,  the MPC maintained status quo in the Repo rate without changing the interest rate i.e., 6.50%. 

GDP data for the Q4 ending Mar'23 released on 31st May'23-Wednesday, the GDP moved to 6.10% Vs.4.50% (Q3-Dec'22). Next GDP data for Q1 ending Jun'23 is expected on 31st Aug'23-Thursday.

IIP data for Jun'23 released on 12th Aug'23-Saturday, the data shows that, the Industrial production has moved down to 3.70% when compared to the May'23, it stood at 5.30%. 

Annual Inflation data for Jul'23 releasd on 14th Aug'23-Monday, it shows that the Inflation has gone up to 7.44% from Jun'23 level i.e., 4.87%.

WPI Inflation data for the month of Jul'23 released on 14th Aug'23-Monday, it has further moved up to -1.36% as against the Jun'23 level i.e.,-4.12%.

Wishing you for a safe, secured and profitable trading.

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The writing in the above daily market update should only be construed as guidance. I assert that any business or investment decisions should not be based purely on the information presented in the daily market update. As a Research Analyst, I will not be responsible for any losses incurred by a visitor/investor/client, as a result of decisions made based on any information given in the daily market update.

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